This post is opinion only. See full disclaimer below I have said repeatedly that with the price of oil, unless things significantly change from the present macro-political situation, a slow train is coming. Metaphorically, what that means is that at some point in the not too distant future the markets may have to reprice from … Continue reading Key Concepts to Consider with Oil Markets and the Iran War: An Update
Tag: oil markets
A Slow Train Coming, part 2
This post is opinion only. See full disclaimer below For quite some time now I have been predicting what has in fact occurred which is that the Iran war would continue to escalate and that a deal would not be forthcoming to end the conflict. Also that the Strait of Hormuz throughput of oil would … Continue reading A Slow Train Coming, part 2
The Global Energy Variable: South Korea and the KOSPI Equation
This post is opinion only. See full disclaimer below Given the extreme volatility and intricate complexity of the current global matrix, it must be stated at the outset that the following analysis could be completely wrong. The reader is explicitly warned that any attempt to map real-time geopolitical friction onto financial markets is inherently speculative. … Continue reading The Global Energy Variable: South Korea and the KOSPI Equation
Tariffs as Capital and the Coming Oil Sanction Push
This post is opinion only. See full disclaimer below. I want to discuss 2 critical issues. First, Trump's new 100 per cent tariff on China for their restrictions on rare earth exports. I have said this in earlier posts that Trump views tariffs as a kind of capital that can like any good businessman would … Continue reading Tariffs as Capital and the Coming Oil Sanction Push
To Be or Not To Be or Why the Markets Might Not Like Monday
Tomorrow is the day that Trump meets with Zelensky and the Europeans to decide if a peace deal gets done. We have covered the oil markets quite a bit on this site, Higher level geopolitical or as I prefer to call them macro-political market factors. are the central concern of all my posts As such … Continue reading To Be or Not To Be or Why the Markets Might Not Like Monday
50 Days and Counting
The oil markets as usual are shrugging off key macro-political events. They have concluded as one misguided article put it that Trump's threat of extreme secondary tariffs of 100 per cent on Russian oil are an instance of TACO or "Trump always chickens out" since he has warned that they are coming if Russia does … Continue reading 50 Days and Counting