This post is opinion only. See full disclaimer below For some time, I have debated here whether Donald Trump operates as a hardcore, structurally conscious realpolitik actor or whether he fits the mold of Socrates’s carpenter—the artisan who possesses specialized skills in a specific craft (in this case, real estate development and transactional deal-making) but … Continue reading The Third Synthesis: Realpolitik and the Real Estate Deal Maker
Category: Proxy Wars
A Slow Train Coming, part 2
This post is opinion only. See full disclaimer below For quite some time now I have been predicting what has in fact occurred which is that the Iran war would continue to escalate and that a deal would not be forthcoming to end the conflict. Also that the Strait of Hormuz throughput of oil would … Continue reading A Slow Train Coming, part 2
Iran war update: Socrates’s carpentry, real-politique or something else? A few reflections on the US “economic D-Day” against Iran.
This post is opinion only. See full disclaimer below I have written extensively in earlier posts about the fact that Trump risks the Socrates's carpenter trap. When Socrates went around Athens all those years ago he found that the carpenters unlike the rhetoricians and many others actually had some real knowledge and skill. The problem … Continue reading Iran war update: Socrates’s carpentry, real-politique or something else? A few reflections on the US “economic D-Day” against Iran.
Updated Conceptual Consideration of the Iran War Situation
This post is opinion only. See full disclaimer below As I have pointed out on many occasions, the Iran War could still go a lot of different ways, and many of the key variables remain unknowable if you aren't in the situation room—though a negotiated deal now seems increasingly, highly unlikely. As anticipated, the recent … Continue reading Updated Conceptual Consideration of the Iran War Situation
Storm Watch: Russia and Iran Sanctions and Market Volatility
I was down twice in Miami over the summer on some of my many visits each year and each time I had to change my trip and was delayed returning up north because of the threat of tropical storms and hurricanes. The first storm I believe named Charlotte hit and made the weather bad for … Continue reading Storm Watch: Russia and Iran Sanctions and Market Volatility
The dangerous tight rope walk of proxy wars
In a recent post I mentioned the thesis that in some sense World War 3 had already begun and that this time unlike earlier world wars seen last century it would occur with the superpowers using proxies to battle for hegemony on the world stage. Anyone considering the current Ukraine war and Middle East conflict … Continue reading The dangerous tight rope walk of proxy wars